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| The price of retro games in 50 years from now? Theories? Doom? Share. |
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| abe:
--- Quote from: kmacdw on April 30, 2016, 04:51:02 am ---I'm sure cartridges will still be about but I'd imagine there'll be far less of them and I'd guess that with games that utilise a battery for saving, there'll be none left that still save. --- End quote --- Except it's super easy to replace save batteries, so that won't really be a big issue. |
| kmacdw:
--- Quote from: abe on April 30, 2016, 09:40:20 am --- --- Quote from: kmacdw on April 30, 2016, 04:51:02 am ---I'm sure cartridges will still be about but I'd imagine there'll be far less of them and I'd guess that with games that utilise a battery for saving, there'll be none left that still save. --- End quote --- Except it's super easy to replace save batteries, so that won't really be a big issue. --- End quote --- Yes now it is. However I don't think those batteries will be used anymore so I doubt they'll be manufactured. So there will be a finite amount that will run out. |
| tripredacus:
Physical media game values will enter the realm of what obsolete media trades for today. The games only retain a value because they can be used. There are ways to still connect the systems to your TV for use. Where the TV industry goes, so will the game market. As newer display technologies come out, the old will lose their compatibility and the technicians who can repair the old will dwindle. This is why old technology preservation is important if you want these formats to exist. --- Quote from: sloan11 on April 30, 2016, 03:46:40 am --- --- Quote from: dreama1 on April 30, 2016, 03:33:43 am ---What happened with baseball cards exactly? I'm not familiar. They're still popular right? --- End quote --- not nearly like they used to be. from my POV i'd say they are basically dead right now. Just a year or two ago there was only 1 company with an MLB deal to even use MLB logos on their cards! my dad owned baseball card shops years ago (80's, 90's) but all those places dried up and now theres nothing, really. There was a point in time where he traded sets of cars for motor vehicles lol but those same cards today aren't worth hot wheels. --- End quote --- The overall sports card industry has ties to how the Baseball card portion works. Currently, baseball cards are actually up from where they were in the mid 90s. The problem with cards in the 80s was that they entered a period of over production. Everything became overvalued or overhyped, but the market bubble did not crash because of that. It crashed because of the MLB strike in 1994. The value/investment bubble burst with it. The manufacturers had scaled back their production, but there was still a lot of product available even up until now. The issue was then that people weren't buying as much in the mid to late 90s and as a result, cards from that era are more uncommon than they would have been otherwise. One exception was during the McGwire/Sosa/Castilla home run chase of 1998, which brought up the market a bit. Enough so that overproduction in terms of available products increased dramatically until around 2004. Around the period of 2004 saw a decrease in the amount of products. For 2 reasons, companies (Pacific, Fleer) folded up, Jose Canseco's book, MLB Steroid bans and court cases, NHL lockout and Upper Deck was granted exclusive NHL license. Production shrank again, bringing a smaller number of products to the retail space and introducing (actual) premium products. These combinations started the trend of retailers stopping to sell product. That and also shifting shelf presence away from sports and into CCGs. High end products priced themselves out of the average card collector and did not make an appearance in retail. What has already happened for video games has been trending up for baseball cards. Products from the junk wax era (1982-1993) have had their values going up. Boxes you couldn't give away, or sold for $5 are now going for $10-15. Products from the low purchased era (1995-1999) have gone up even more. Boxes in the $10-20 range are now up into the $50-80+ in some cases. Soon the 2000s era products will move up as well. I would like to say that the baseball card market is on the top of the 4 sports. |
| bikingjahuty:
Predicting anything 50-years down the road is next to impossible. There will certainly be be booms, downs and all other mater of things socially, economically, and globally in general. How these will effect the retro game market cannot be seen, however I do believe hat despite all of this, retro gaming will crash relatively soon. Probably within the next decade. What were are seeing right now is the coming of age of people who grew up during the mid to late 80s; they are getting careers and disposable income, and most also happen to be in that sweet spot between single and no kids and married with children. They are going back and collecting relics from their childhood which has increased demand on older games. However this same thing happened a little over a decade with Atari games as people who grew up during the 70s were in thee same position, which caused that niche to explode as well. Admittedly it was not as big as NES, SNES, or TG16 collecting is now but prices were a ot higher on Atari games during the mid 90s up until the mid 2000s. Now Atari games can be found everywhere and even some of the rarer titles are a lot cheaper than they were. This same spike in collectibility and price has happened in other hobbies as well including toys, baseball cards, and comics (which are coming back again). All limited comodities that rose in price and eventually plummeted after years of being in demand. What will bring an end to the retro gaming boom has already begun. People lose interest, people take on all kinds of new responsibilities (mortgage, kids, medical bills) and sell off their collection, once again increasing quantity and decreasing price. This will happen more and more over the next 5-years and I can't see any retro games, outside of the very rare titles retaining their value. Even games like Little Samson or Ducktales 2 will decrease in price. Probably never to their pre-retro gaming boom prices, but at least half of what they go for now. Again, this has happened with most collectables over the years and I have no reason to believe retro games are an exception. |
| burningdoom:
People have been saying the market will burst for years now. I think at this point, it's a pipe dream. This is more than just a fad, and is just getting more and more mainstream and accepted. Also, it doesn't seem to be going away generationally, even. I remember when I started to really collect Atari 2600 and NES were all the rage. Now it seems like we're getting to the point where N64 and GameCube are becoming big collectors items. That's because younger people are continuing to relive their childhoods. And that's going to continue a few years down the road with PS2, Wii, and 360. And finally, retro games are not being continually made and restocked. So the supply is just going to continually dwindle. There are repros, yes, but most of the time those are made in limited quantities, and lot of collectors don't even want them anyways. As time goes on, it's going to get harder and more competitive to collect retro games because of these reasons. It's already gotten that way. In 2000-2005, I could get most any NES & SNES games for around $10 (except for the exceptionally rare, of course). Now, good luck finding that outside of message board deal or a yard sale. On the other hand, digital distribution of classic games has gotten easier and more mainstream. So at least those will be easily accessible, always. |
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