That comparison really isn't fair at all. Video games are made with wildly different code, different game systems in mind, etc..with music and movies, they can look and play different, but how they work is universal. You can watch The Dark Knight on an old tv but you can't play Super Mario Sunshine on an nes. You'll be able to pirate a movie until the end of time, but a game inevitably will eventually become unplayable if it's not physically preserved.
Games will change and improve but they'll never, ever be as simple and easy as downloading an Mp3 file or whatever. It just doesn't work that way.And the extremely negative impact on the gaming industry, the longeitivity of games, and how it screws over consumers in the long term, do not apply to movies and music, hence why people don't complain about those going digital as much. Like, call me a skeptist, but there's not going to be a day in our lifetime where we can buy the entire game of Skyrim for five bucks and jump right into it
The fact is, though-no such thing has happened. Just consider the fact that gaming PCs capable of running any current 60$ games are considered a niche and are (and will remain) much more expensive than any sort of console. And if you're going to go out of your way to head to the store to buy a console, what would you get? A 60$ eshop card, or the game you want, sitting right there on the shelf? Physical games are more likely to end up in someone's hands than digital games, and the more advanced games become, the more that fact remains true.
Cheap ass game companies want this so they can have pretty much no respect for their consumers. Don't let that happen.
ehmm pretty much all 2d games can pretty much be played at mobile phones at this point
More games are surely to follow including 3d, not to mention that sony and nintendo might eventually quit the console market and develop for mobile games if that were to happen. not saying that would be a good thing since Im not a fan of mobile gaming I avoid it like the plague.
There will however be a time that even the most advanced brand new 3d games will be just as simple to download and universally available as digital music is today.
Do not be fooled technology will have some major improvements over the upcoming 20+ years some wich might be kinda hard to believe. Digital stuff likes this is just chump chance in comparison.
I think you highly overestimate how fast technology moves. Back when 3D games were already commonplace, the best 2D games could do was a portable snes; even now, we've
just reached a point where it's physically possible for portable games to be console quality, and
that thing costs four hundred bucks. 2D games are infinitely easier to develop for, so the idea that because mobile phones can run most 2D games, 3D games will soon follow I find incredibly silly. Mobile phones right now are capable of running a smaller gamecube game
if i'm being generous, and while phones with that sort of power I'm sure will exist, it'll be a long, long time before they're cheap enough to become used by average folks. Don't think of it as "they'll have all 3D games soon!" Think of it as "They can only reliably play 2D games, so they're worlds away from replacing consoles"
Technology doesn't work that way, you can't just magically shrink Super Mario Odssey onto a 20$ phone because the tools you use are improving.